Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.004311 0.004540 0.004775 0.005035 0.005315 0.005607 0.005937
2025-08-17 0.003975 0.004321 0.004691 0.005120 0.005606 0.006141 0.006777
2025-08-24 0.003710 0.004116 0.004565 0.005101 0.005728 0.006444 0.007330
2025-08-31 0.003498 0.003944 0.004448 0.005065 0.005806 0.006678 0.007794
2025-09-07 0.003307 0.003777 0.004319 0.004996 0.005830 0.006834 0.008157
2025-09-14 0.003141 0.003628 0.004198 0.004924 0.005835 0.006958 0.008476
2025-09-21 0.003036 0.003544 0.004149 0.004931 0.005933 0.007196 0.008948
2025-09-28 0.002863 0.003369 0.003977 0.004775 0.005811 0.007140 0.009021
2025-10-05 0.002778 0.003297 0.003930 0.004771 0.005882 0.007336 0.009440
2025-10-12 0.002739 0.003281 0.003949 0.004851 0.006065 0.007684 0.010089
2025-10-19 0.002652 0.003200 0.003882 0.004813 0.006085 0.007810 0.010425
2025-10-26 0.002577 0.003130 0.003826 0.004788 0.006118 0.007954 0.010791
2025-11-02 0.002501 0.003057 0.003764 0.004751 0.006136 0.008077 0.011139
2025-11-09 0.002475 0.003049 0.003787 0.004831 0.006321 0.008449 0.011891
2025-11-16 0.002413 0.002991 0.003740 0.004813 0.006362 0.008611 0.012323
2025-11-23 0.002350 0.002929 0.003686 0.004780 0.006379 0.008735 0.012699
2025-11-30 0.002280 0.002855 0.003612 0.004717 0.006348 0.008784 0.012951
2025-12-07 0.002212 0.002782 0.003538 0.004650 0.006308 0.008815 0.013174
2025-12-14 0.002173 0.002748 0.003516 0.004657 0.006378 0.009020 0.013706
2025-12-21 0.002085 0.002643 0.003393 0.004512 0.006211 0.008840 0.013552
2025-12-28 0.002048 0.002609 0.003367 0.004508 0.006261 0.009010 0.014030
2026-01-04 0.002038 0.002611 0.003394 0.004583 0.006434 0.009388 0.014912
2026-01-11 0.001993 0.002565 0.003348 0.004548 0.006433 0.009476 0.015262